Historical Analysis of the CF Orr Stakes

Historical Analysis of the CF Orr Stakes

Typhoon Tracy was a dual winner Picture: Racing and Sports
CF ORR STAKES - G1 1400m

The CF Orr Stks is usually the first Melbourne WFA hit out for the top quality horses in the Autumn. While the 1400m around Caulfield can be leaderish by tradition, recent versions of the Orr have been for run-on horses.

Whether it was contested back at Sandown or at Caulfield, too many good ones have won it to be ignored, though it was a smorgasbord for 3yos some time ago.

PROFILING THE RACE

o Peter Moody won 5 times in 6 years.

o Usually the 1400 at Caulfield is dynamite for wide barriers but for some reason they haven’t caused as much heart ache in the Orr.

o Females have only won 8 of the last 37 years but 4 of the last 8.

o As is often the case with WFA events, favourites fair well.

o 3yos won six times in a row from ’98 to ’03 but it took All Too Hard to get them back on board in 2013.

o Lonhro and Saintly were joined by All Too Hard as the only non-Victorians to salute in last 20 years.

o Last 10 Winners Most Prevalent Age of winner - 5yo (4 times)

o Last 10 Winners Average Price of winner - $6.50 (but only three above $4)

o Breakdown of winners - 3 geldings, 2 entires, 1 colt & 4 mares

o Races that the winner ran in prior - Australia Stks (5), Spell (5)

RECENT WINNERS

2017 - BLACK HEART BART 6g (Blackfriars x Sister Theresa) ($3.25 fav)

Jockey: Brad Rawiller, Trainer: Darren Weir

Barrier: 11, Weight: 59.0kg, Gross Time: 1:22.55

Margin: 1L, Track: Good (3), Starters: 12

2nd: Turn Me Loose (59.0kg), 3rd: Ecuador (59.0kg)

Review: ‘Bart’ was like many horses brought up on those firm Perth tracks. He was tough and still racing with heart at the highest level. Off a good run in the Australia Stakes, he wasn’t in a controlling position three wide midfield but he had cover.

Moving into the race 600m out, Rawiller had him ready to pounce and while he took a furlong to wind up, he surged home far too well for the rivals. What a tough boy.

2017 CF Orr Stakes - Black Heart Bart

2016 - SUAVITO 5m (Thorn Park x Queen Cha Cha) ($15)

Jockey: Luke Currie, Trainer: Nigel Blackiston

Barrier: 1, Weight: 57.0kg, Gross Time: 1:22.64

Margin: 0.8L, Track: Good (3), Starters: 18

2nd: Lucky Hussler (59.0kg), 3rd: Hucklebuck (59.0kg)

Review: There had been discussions about the overall strength of this race with so many G1 winners in it. It certainly was a good betting affair.

One of those not too readily mentioned was the mare Suavito after having ten months off the scene. First up 50 weeks before, she had won the Futurity Stakes over the same course and distance and this time she drew gate one in the massive field.

Luke Currie sat her back midfield and on the turn she took a split one off. From there she accelerated and got the winning margin. Others had bad luck that happens in big fields.

2016 CF Orr Stakes - Suavito

Dissident winning the CF Orr Stakes Picture: Racing and Sports
2015 - DISSIDENT 4h (Sebring x Diana’s Secret) ($2.75 fav)

Jockey: Ben Melham, Trainer: Peter Moody

Barrier: 7, Weight: 59.0kg, Gross Time: 1:23.38

Margin: 1.5L, Track: Good (3), Starters: 15

2nd: Entirely Platinum (59.0kg), 3rd: Mourinho (59.0kg)

Review: Peter Moody knows his horses so well and also how to set them for specific races. While others were concerned at Dissident’s first up run when beaten at short odds in the Australia Stakes, he suggested he was needing the longer race and different tempo of Caulfield.

He got both and it turned him around quickly. With a decent pace on it was difficult to come from a way back on a firming track and those near the speed held on.

The entire was in a position to strike and while taking a while to wind up, he got there with some room to spare. Moody won the race for the fifth time in six goes.


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