Back Bank on Bela-Bela in the Paddock Stakes

The main supporting feature on Saturday’s L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate card at Kenilworth on Saturday is the R1m, Group 1 WFA Maine Chance Farms Paddock Stakes (1800m) for fillies and mares and Bela-Bela looks to be the meeting banker.

This four-year-old Dynasty filly was rated by Anthony Delpech as the second best filly he had ever ridden behind only Igugu after winning the Group 1 Woolavington 2000 last May. In her recent comeback over 1400m she oozed class once more and she only needed to be stretched out in the final stages to get up over a trip short of her best. Last year as a still maturing three-year-old she finished only three lengths behind Smart Call in this race and the latter went on to produce one of the best Met performances in history.

Bela-Bela looks hard to beat. If she is not made a banker, the race becomes a mine field. Safe Harbour is a long-striding sort who is thriving in Cape Town and on pedigree should enjoy the step up in trip. Bela-Bela’s stablemate Star Express is highly regarded by the yard and only has 1,3 lengths to make up on the latter from last year and she now has the draw Bela-Bela had last year, pole position.

Sail is a classy and progressive three-year-old who was running on late in the Cape Fillies Guineas, so is a big runner if able to overcome her draw. Chevauchee has always had a big reputation and finally gets to prove how good she is over a course and distance which should suit.

Nightingale is not far off Bela-Bela on Woolavington form and now has her third run after a layoff. Silver Mountain is classy and should be coming into her own being by Silvano, but there has to be a slight stamina doubt. Final Judgement was unlucky in the Cape Fillies Guineas and she should be staying on with long strides.

Whose That Girl was also unlucky in the Cape Fillies Guineas and will be staying on. Goodtime Gal is consistent but has a wide draw, albeit with Gavin Lerena up. Tahini is small but has improved this season although she needs a further step up and Icy Fire also needs to improve.

In the R250,000, Group 3 Cartier Politician Stakes (1800m) Newlands’ form stands out as superior to the rest of the field and he should relish the course and distance too.

Horizon caught the eye when unlucky in the Jet Master Stakes over 1600m and will be staying on too. Strathdon has a nice stride and will love the galloping nature of the course and distance, so is another threat. Ollivander is a nice type and could be the dark horse. Carbon Offset’s last win over 1600m has worked out well, but there are question marks over this trip.

In the R400,000, Group 2 Glorious Goodwood Peninsula Handicap (1800m) Whisky Baron is improving all the time and his class should carry him close, although Mambo Mime and It’s My Turn also have the class to win and Nebula, Icy Trail and Star Chestnut could pick up the pieces if any of those three fail.