Betfair's renowned form guru Dominic Beirne believes the marketplace has overreacted to the last start win of Sydney Cup favourite Kelinni and is poor value in Saturday's Randwick feature.
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“Whilst Kelinni was impressive last week and he is deserving of favouritism on Saturday, I think his price has tumbled exaggeratedly,” Beirne said in his Betfair weekly preview.
“The conditions were markedly different - a heavy track, 2000 metres and weaker opposition than tomorrow.
“Similarly I believe Maluckyday has also been over found in markets. This horse has recorded two placings from 13 starts in the 30 months since his wonderful effort to be runner-up in the Melbourne Cup.”
Beirne has identified last year's Sydney Cup winner Niwot and Mourayan as runners who represent excellent, having assessed each horses at much shorter quotes than the $15.50 and $18 they were trading at on Betfair on Friday.
In the Queen Elizabeth Stakes, Beirne expects a another big win for Triple Crown winner It's A Dundeel.
“It's A Dundeel will be cherry ripe and run up to its recent performances and in this scenario the three-year-old will win by about four lengths," Beirne said.
Beirne also believes champion mare More Joyous is highly vulnerable in her clash with the three-year-olds All Too Hard and Epaulette in the All Aged Stakes.
Dominic Beirne’s analysis for Sydney Cup Day and a selection of suggested bets for the Adelaide program is available at http://www.betfair.com.au/dombeirne
