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Will Lumosty Gain A Start?

Plenty of conjecture surrounds Robert Smerdon's talented filly and whether she will gain a start in the Group 1 Stradbroke Handicap.

Lumosty
Lumosty Picture: Racing and Sports

Lumosty currently sits at number 31 in the order of entry released on Monday morning and after some debate in the office, we are of the opinion she is likely to gain a start.

Following his win in the Doomben 10,000 trainer Chris Waller indicated Boban is an unlikely starter in the feature event.

"He's going to be topweight and that makes it hard, so I don't know," Waller said.

"I'd think we might give him a good spell and try the same thing in the spring."

Obviously plans can change, however under the handicap conditions it is unlikely he can defeat either Charlie Boy or Generalife and hence we feel he will be saved for the Spring.

Ultra consistent mare Catkins is another near the top of the weights who we feel is unlikely to run, given she can run in the more suitable Dane Ripper Stakes on the same day.

The Group 1 Tatts Tiara is again her main target and this appears a more logical pathway.

Flamberge, Trust In A Gust, River Lad, Hucklebuck, Lucky Hussler, Our Boy Malachi, Gregers, Under The Louvre and Speediness are all reportedly out of the event.

So if then we are correct in regards to both Boban and Catkins, that now leaves Lumosty at number 20 in the order of entry, gaining her a position as the fourth emergency.

Of the remaining 20 a few question marks still surround a few other runners which include Scissor Kick, Fontelina, Fast 'N' Rocking, Vain Queen and El Roca.

Scissor Kick was quite disappointing over the weekend, as was Fontelina who finished towards the tail behind Boban.

Fast 'N' Rocking has not been seen since finishing fifth in the BRC Sprint and this would be only the second time in his career that David Hayes has taken him to the races sixth up.

El Roca is nominated to contest the QTC Cup on Saturday and will be looking to reaffirm himself as a leading chance in the feature event.

Notably well below his best first up, if El Roca was again to perform poorly we feel it is unlikely that Busuttin would press on with his preparation.

As for Vain Queen she has never been tried beyond 1200m and hence we are happy to label her an unlikely starter.

This leaves Lumosty right on the cusp of gaining a start at number 17.

She will still need a few things to go her way, but her chances have drastically improved over the weekend.

2015 Stradbroke Handicap - Likely Field

 

Horse

Age

Trainer

Ballot

Weight

Running

1

BOBAN

5

Chris Waller

1=

58kg

Unlikely

2

HOT SNITZEL

6

Peter & Paul Snowden

1=

55.5kg

Yes

3

FLAMBERGE

5

Peter G Moody

1=

55kg

No

4

SACRED STAR

5

Tony Pike

1=

55kg

Yes

5

CATKINS

5

Chris Waller

5

54.5kg

Unlikely

6

TRUST IN A GUST

4

Darren Weir

6

56.5kg

No

7

RIVER LAD

7

Natalie Mccall

7

56kg

No

8

HUCKLEBUCK

4

Phillip Stokes

8

56kg

No

9

LUCKY HUSSLER

5

Darren Weir

9

56kg

No

10

SRIKANDI

4

Ciaron Maher

10

53kg

Yes

11

SMOKIN’ JOEY

7

Wez Hunter

11

54.5kg

Yes

12

GENERALIFE

5

John O'Shea

12

54.5kg

Yes

13

TEMPLE OF BOOM

8

Tony Gollan

13

54.5kg

Yes

14

LORD OF THE SKY

4

Robbie Laing

14

54kg

Yes

15

SCISSOR KICK

3

Paul Messara

15

52.5kg

Unsure

16

OUR BOY MALACHI

6

Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes

16

54kg

No

17

CHARLIE BOY

4

Peter & Paul Snowden

17

54kg

Yes

18

GREGERS

4

David Hayes & Tom Dabernig

18

52kg

No

19

KNOYDART

5

John O'Shea

19

54kg

Yes

20

DELECTATION

3

Chris Waller

20

52kg

Yes

21

BIG MONEY

5

Rodney Northam

21

53.5kg

Yes

22

BLACK HEART BART

4

Vaughn Sigley

22

53.5kg

Yes

23

UNDER THE LOUVRE

4

Robert Smerdon

23

53.5kg

No

24

STRAWBERRY BOY

6

Chris Waller

24

53.5kg

Yes

25

FONTELINA

6

Anthony Cummings

25

53.5kg

Unsure

26

SPEEDINESS

7

Colin Scott

26

53.5kg

No

27

EL ROCA

4

Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

27

53.5kg

Likely

28

KURO (NZ)

3

Joseph Pride

28

51.5kg

Likely

29

FAST ’N’ ROCKING

4

David Hayes & Tom Dabernig

29

53kg

Unsure

30

VAIN QUEEN

5

John Sadler

30

52kg

Unsure

31

LUMOSTY

3

Robert Smerdon

31

50.5kg

Yes


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