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The Stats Report

The Stats Report

ZEROING IN

We go about finding a weekend special from a statistical angle.

Rosehill Race 4 - 3 Watabout

Progressive filly who should be nearing her peak fitness racing third up following an encouraging effort last start when finishing third behind Woodbine. Takes on the older mares for the first time on Saturday but is well placed at the weights and appears set to relish the step up to seven furlongs. Is proven to be at her best with the sting out of the track however she proved capable on firm going last start and did she show good improvement with the blinkers on for the first time. Have to respect last start winners More Than Brave and Breakfast In Bed however the time figures out of Watabout's latest performance suggests she does have a slight edge at this point in time.

Nash Rawiller rides very well for the Denham stable
Nash Rawiller rides very well for the Denham stable Picture: Racing and Sports
Key Trends

  • Nash Rawiller sticks aboard on Saturday and impressively strikes at 42% for the Allan Denham stable.
  • Watabout is unbeaten at her only prior attempt racing third up and Rawiller has only missed the money once aboard the filly in four previous attempts.
  • Allan Denham trained gallopers are proven to keep improving throughout their preparation which is evident in the stable's strike rate first-up (11%) and third-up (15%).
  • The Denham stable strikes at 15% with horses rising between 101m - 200m and strike at 24% with gallopers priced between $2.00 & $6.00.


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