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The Melbourne Mail - May 13

We return to Caulfield with the rail in the true and nine good betting races this Saturday.

Onpicalo is honest and has beaten Kenjorwood before
Onpicalo is honest and has beaten Kenjorwood before Picture: Racing and Sports

There are plenty of good betting opportunities on the card and one of them presents itself in race 6 where the race won two weeks ago by South Australian Derby hopeful Odeon looks the key form reference. From that race we are focusing on Overberg.

We threw up Overberg as an each way play there and he did well to hang on to third after doing some work early in the piece. That's not to say that he was unlucky not to win the race, the winner was more than convincing on the day, but he ran up to expectation and again we are expecting plenty of him this weekend.

The early betting throws him up around the $5.50 mark and, despite the race having depth in chances, that appeals as a good bet with his current ratings profile pointing to him being every bit as likely as current race favourite Grand Dreamer.

The race prior also throws up a betting opportunity that we can't resist with Onpicalo trading in excess of $7.00 in early markets.

Race favourite Kenjorwood deserves his place at the top of the market coming off good efforts in races that have not set up to his strengths, and this looks like it may, but if Kenjorwood is the right price and the worthy favourite then Onpicalo must be a strong chance.

Kenjorwood has gone head to head with Onpicalo five times with the ledger currently 3-2 to Kenjorwood.

Kenjorwood has started shorter in the betting on all five occasions, is the better horse (Timeform ratings make it 114 v 103), but the handicapper offsets that difference and leaves Onpicalo and appealing bet each way.

The Melbourne Mail

Bet Of The Day: Race 6 #10 Overberg @ $5.50

Each Way Play: Race 5 #5 Onpicalo @ $7.50


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