The Stats Report with Simon Dinopoulos

ZEROING IN

We go about finding a weekend special from a statistical angle.

Rosehill Race 8 - 11 Soothing

Very promising galloper from James Cummings stable who absolutely gapped her rivals when resuming at Randwick last start.

Her fourth win from nine starts, Soothing returned a clear new career peak, figures which certainly leave her well placed on Saturday.

Always a concern whether horses can repeat such a high-rating performance at their following start, but feel James has offset that by giving her five weeks between runs.

Looked in fine fettle in a recent barrier trial and has drawn to get a lovely run from the middle draw.

The much in-form James McDonald sticks aboard and black odds is good odds.

Key Trends

The James Cummings stable has begun the new season with a bang, 24/128 and 31% with last start winners.

James McDonald sticks aboard and is striking at 26% from his last 50 runners and has run at a POT of +26.7% with favourites this season.

Overall Cummings is striking at 18% [2163 runners] and 21% with gallopers over this distance range.

Simon Dinopoulos’ Three Tips for Sky Sports Radio

Race 3 - No 5 - Renewal

Race 7 - No 3 - Invincibella

Race 8 - No 11 - Soothing