Newmarket Rowley Free Form Guide | Enhanced Form | Race 5 | Saturday, 12th October 2024

2m2f TURF GOOD SOFT

GBP £175,000

Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

GBP £175,000

Age: 3yo and up Type: HCP Fastest Time: 3:51.56 Grand Providence 23 Sep 2023 3yo+ HCP SOT:G

2m2f TURF GOOD SOFT

Tab	FORM	Horse	WT	Draw	Tot $PM	Car$/St	Jockey	Joc L50	Joc PM	JRat	Trainer	Tra L50	Tra PM	TRat	EST	LSR	50D	BL3	12m	Car	RT GF	RT SH	12M AW	50D AW	NR	PR	BP	12TB	12TM	12TT3	100TB	WT TS	+ \| -	Draw TS	Draw LS	DIST LS	+ \| -	CLS LS	LS Fav	TS Jockey TS Rating TS J/H	LS Jockey LS Rat LS J/H	Trainer Rating	Location	TC
1	322x0	QUEENSTOWN	9st12lbs	25	$68.7k	$9.8k	RYAN MOORE	$2,513.8k	$22,820.9k	H 5.0	AIDAN O'BRIEN	$4,142.3k	$20,047.8k	H 4.8	59	65	65	105	105	105	105	91	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	9st 12lbs	1	25	22	1m6f	4f	HCP	-	RYAN MOORE H 5.0	JAMES DOYLE 2.9	AIDAN O'BRIEN H 4.8	Cashel, Co Tipperary	N
2	21233	SAMUI	9st10lbs	9	$220.4k	$12.3k	KEITHEN KENNEDY (a2.5)	$67.7k	$628.6k	2.9	GORDON ELLIOTT	$163.2k	$1,515.9k	3.9	106	89	105	105	105	105	105	89	0	0	44	49	13	0	0	0	0	9st 10lbs	4	9	5	2m	2f1y	OPEN	-	KEITHEN KENNEDY 2.9	JAMIE SPENCER 2.4	GORDON ELLIOTT 3.9	Longwood, Co Meath	N
3	753x5	DAWN RISING	9st9lbs	18	$466.8k	$25.9k	TOM MARQUAND	$584.2k	$6,024.4k	4.4	JOSEPH O'BRIEN	$359.4k	$5,166.2k	2.5	92	96	96	96	96	107	107	102	0	0	7	2	13	0	0	0	0	9st 8lbs	0	18	26	2m1f	1f1y	HCP	-	TOM MARQUAND 4.4	DECLAN MCDONOGH 1.8	JOSEPH O'BRIEN 2.5	Owning Hill, Co Kilkenny	N
4	0x658	ROBERTO ESCOBARR	9st8lbs	23	$238.2k	$11.3k	MARCO GHIANI	$80.6k	$1,094.2k	2.9	IAN WILLIAMS	$135.2k	$1,427.8k	3.6	61	64	64	75	101	111	111	80	101	0	4	1	11	0	0	0	0	9st 8lbs	4	23	4	2m	2f1y	HCP	-	MARCO GHIANI 2.9	JIM CROWLEY 3.2	IAN WILLIAMS 3.6	Portway, Worcs	N
5	25212	RUN FOR OSCAR	9st8lbs	2	$530.7k	$14.7k	ROSSA RYAN	$5,029.3k	$9,269.6k	3.9	CHARLES BYRNES	$79.7k	$828.2k	2.5	99	96	96	98	99	106	103	106	0	0	13	39	3	0	0	0	0	9st 8lbs	-24	2	0	3m	-6f	HDLE	Beaten	ROSSA RYAN 3.9	P BYRNES 3.4	CHARLES BYRNES 2.5	Ballingarry, Co Limerick	N
6	x415x	THE SHUNTER	9st4lbs	15	$592.9k	$13.8k	JAMES DOYLE	$547.4k	$5,794.0k	H 2.1	E MULLINS	$322.9k	$2,945.6k	3.4	81	80	0	105	105	125	117	125	0	0	6	0	5	511	511	511	0	9st 4lbs	-33	15	0	3m109y	-6f109y	HDLE HCP	-	JAMES DOYLE H 2.1	DONAGH MEYLER 3.0	E MULLINS 3.4	Bagenalstown, Co. Carlow	N
7	73220	MAGELLAN STRAIT	9st3lbs	8	$659.8k	$38.8k	OISIN ORR	$232.9k	$1,320.0k	2.8	JOSEPH O'BRIEN	$359.4k	$5,166.2k	2.5	81	22	80	80	92	101	101	101	92	0	4	2	7	0	0	0	0	9st 3lbs	4	8	9	2m1f	1f1y	HCP	-	OISIN ORR 2.8	H J HORGAN 2.9	JOSEPH O'BRIEN 2.5	Owning Hill, Co Kilkenny	N
8	985x1	SEA OF SANDS	9st2lbs	11	$137.5k	$9.8k	WILLIAM BUICK	$2,070.2k	$12,683.8k	4.8	WILLIE MULLINS	$596.1k	$4,051.2k	4.5	101	101	101	101	101	110	110	101	0	0	8	30	4	0	0	0	0	9st 2lbs	-38	11	0	2m	2f1y	MHDLE	Won	WILLIAM BUICK 4.8	MR P W MULLINS 5.0	WILLIE MULLINS 4.5	Muine Bheag, Co Carlow	N
9	110x4	TROOPER BISDEE	8st11lbs	5	$62.8k	$4.5k	RHYS CLUTTERBUCK	$139.9k	$853.1k	3.0	SIR MARK PRESCOTT	$188.5k	$1,712.2k	3.9	97	92	92	98	98	98	98	50	82	0	7	17	0	516	524	524	516	8st 11lbs	-7	5	3	2m2f	0	HCP	-	RHYS CLUTTERBUCK 3.0	LUKE MORRIS 2.9	SIR MARK PRESCOTT 3.9	Newmarket, Suffolk	N
10	x712x	NDAAWI	8st11lbs	16	$161.7k	$10.8k	JAMIE SPENCER	$590.3k	$9,204.1k	2.3	GORDON ELLIOTT	$163.2k	$1,515.9k	3.9	95	96	0	107	107	107	107	100	0	0	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	8st 11lbs	-22	16	0	2m	2f1y	OPEN	-	JAMIE SPENCER 2.3	JACK KENNEDY 4.6	GORDON ELLIOTT 3.9	Longwood, Co Meath	N
11	1x205	EVALUATION	8st10lbs	7	$201.3k	$7.7k	ROWAN SCOTT	$74.3k	$650.9k	2.9	MISS LUCINDA V RUSSELL	$105.3k	$1,112.0k	3.2	101	100	100	103	105	106	106	63	105	0	8	30	7	0	0	0	0	8st 10lbs	-11	7	3	1m6f109y	3f111y	HCP	-	ROWAN SCOTT 2.9	JOE FANNING 3.8	MISS LUCINDA V RUSSELL 3.2	Arlary, Perth & Kinross	N
12	54811	SPIRIT MIXER	8st10lbs	6	$285.8k	$9.2k	OISIN MURPHY	$758.5k	$5,650.4k	H 3.8	ANDREW BALDING	$503.3k	$6,103.2k	3.6	108	106	106	106	106	117	112	106	91	0	13	118	7	0	0	0	0	8st 10lbs	4	6	3	2m	2f1y	HCP	-	OISIN MURPHY H 3.8	ROB HORNBY 2.1	ANDREW BALDING 3.6	Kingsclere, Hants	N
13	2176x	AQWAAM	8st9lbs	22	$149.4k	$6.2k	TREVOR WHELAN	$148.9k	$926.9k	3.3	IAN WILLIAMS	$135.2k	$1,427.8k	3.6	82	99	0	106	106	106	99	94	106	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	8st 9lbs	2	22	6	2m2f109y	-109y	HCP	-	TREVOR WHELAN 3.3	FRANNY NORTON 2.5	IAN WILLIAMS 3.6	Portway, Worcs	N
14	23613	SIXANDAHALF	8st8lbs	20	$190.9k	$23.9k	ROBERT WHEARTY (a1.5)	$229.9k	$998.1k	2.0	GAVIN CROMWELL	$295.2k	$1,701.1k	3.7	106	107	107	107	107	107	107	99	0	0	13	14	10	0	0	0	0	8st 8lbs	2	20	22	2m1f	1f1y	HCP	-	ROBERT WHEARTY 2.0	ROBERT WHEARTY 2.1	GAVIN CROMWELL 3.7	Navan, Co. Meath	N
15	x0057	ZEALANDIA	8st7lbs	3	$183.9k	$6.1k	JOHN EGAN	$43.5k	$568.5k	2.1	IAN WILLIAMS	$135.2k	$1,427.8k	3.6	73	72	72	101	109	109	105	103	109	0	3	4	11	0	0	0	0	8st 7lbs	8	3	11	2m	2f1y	HCP	-	JOHN EGAN 2.1	RYAN KAVANAGH 2.0	IAN WILLIAMS 3.6	Portway, Worcs	N
16	11108	ALPHONSE LE GRANDE	8st6lbs	19	$157.1k	$5.1k	JAMIE POWELL (a1.5)	$83.8k	$826.3k	1.9	MRS C O'LEARY	$56.9k	$473.5k	2.1	89	92	92	108	108	108	97	68	108	0	6	7	0	0	0	0	0	8st 6lbs	-2	19	8	2m1f	1f1y	HCP	-	JAMIE POWELL 1.9	NIALL GEORGE MCCULLAGH 2.2	MRS C O'LEARY 2.1	Trim, Co Meath	N
17	81580	SHAGPYLE	8st5lbs	1	$69.2k	$6.9k	FREDERICK LARSON (a1.5)	$83.0k	$1,128.6k	1.9	W MUIR & C GRASSICK	$118.2k	$1,343.6k	2.2	88	30	85	100	107	107	107	101	85	85	7	7	4	526	526	526	526	8st 5lbs	-7	1	10	2m2f	0	HCP	-	FREDERICK LARSON 1.9	TYLER HEARD 2.1	W MUIR & C GRASSICK 2.2	Lambourn, Berks	N
18	x2331	MANXMAN	8st5lbs	4	$106.5k	$8.2k	SEAN DYLAN BOWEN (a1.5)	$94.9k	$912.2k	3.3	SIMON & ED CRISFORD	$332.8k	$2,530.9k	3.6	106	101	101	105	105	105	105	102	101	101	8	9	20	0	0	0	0	8st 5lbs	-15	4	2	2m110y	1f110y	HCP	-	SEAN DYLAN BOWEN 3.3	DANIEL MUSCUTT 2.0	SIMON & ED CRISFORD 3.6	Newmarket, Suffolk	N
19	03x85	ANNA BUNINA	8st4lbs	17	$377.9k	$7.1k	TOM KIELY-MARSHALL (a2.5)	$130.3k	$379.4k	2.9	J C MCCONNELL	$76.6k	$605.8k	2.1	79	82	82	82	105	123	123	116	0	0	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	8st 4lbs	-43	17	0	2m4f109y	-2f109y	HDLE HCP	-	TOM KIELY-MARSHALL 2.9	ALEX HARVEY 2.0	J C MCCONNELL 2.1	Stamullen, Co Meath	N
20	12222	PREMIERE LIGNE	8st3lbs	10	$115.4k	$6.1k	JACK DOUGHTY (a2.5)	$75.5k	$664.6k	1.7	H MORRISON	$509.6k	$1,737.6k	3.2	109	111	111	111	111	111	111	81	0	0	20	22	0	514	514	514	514	8st 3lbs	-8	10	11	2m2f	0	HCP	-	JACK DOUGHTY 1.7	HECTOR CROUCH 3.6	H MORRISON 3.2	East Ilsley, Berks	N
21	75044	BASHFUL BOY	8st3lbs	13	$203.9k	$3.9k	JOSEPHINE GORDON	$123.1k	$608.5k	2.3	D E PIPE	$81.1k	$710.6k	2.0	80	42	85	85	105	116	116	105	0	0	3	4	4	514	514	514	0	8st 3lbs	-43	13	0	2m4f109y	-2f109y	HDLE HCP	-	JOSEPHINE GORDON 2.3	JACK TUDOR 4.0	D E PIPE 2.0	Nicholashayne, Devon	N
22	86x2x	JACOVEC CAVERN	8st2lbs	14	$43.1k	$2.7k	HAYLEY TURNER	$163.6k	$1,514.4k	2.4	E MULLINS	$322.9k	$2,945.6k	3.4	88	102	0	102	102	102	101	102	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	0	0	8st 2lbs	-25	14	7	2m110y	1f110y	HCP	Beaten	HAYLEY TURNER 2.4	MICHAEL O'SULLIVAN 1.8	E MULLINS 3.4	Bagenalstown, Co. Carlow	N
23	18425	STORY HORSE	8st2lbs	21	$53.0k	$3.5k	TYLER HEARD	$80.5k	$1,414.3k	1.9	W J KNIGHT	$372.5k	$1,552.0k	3.3	97	94	102	102	102	102	102	0	102	102	6	7	0	517	517	517	517	8st 2lbs	-9	21	8	2m2f	0	HCP	-	TYLER HEARD 1.9	CIEREN FALLON 3.8	W J KNIGHT 3.3	Newmarket, Suffolk	N
24	1106x	REVEREND HUBERT	8st2lbs	12	$107.6k	$4.3k	SEAN DAVIS	$12.3k	$293.2k	2.0	CHARLES BYRNES	$79.7k	$828.2k	2.5	114	100	0	124	124	124	124	101	0	0	54	60	0	604	604	604	0	8st 2lbs	-45	12	0	2m2f	0	OPEN	-	SEAN DAVIS 2.0	P BYRNES 3.8	CHARLES BYRNES 2.5	Ballingarry, Co Limerick	N
25	50x94	LADY PERCIVAL	8st2lbs	24	$59.9k	$3.2k	CONNOR PLANAS (a1.5)	$92.8k	$986.1k	1.9	H MORRISON	$509.6k	$1,737.6k	3.2	80	84	84	84	84	101	101	78	84	84	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	8st 2lbs	-22	24	9	2m	2f1y	HCP	-	CONNOR PLANAS 1.9	HARRY DAVIES 2.3	H MORRISON 3.2	East Ilsley, Berks	N

View Worksheet for ALL Races

CSV

View Neurals for ALL Races

Tab	Horse	Draw
1	QUEENSTOWN	25
2	SAMUI	9
3	DAWN RISING	18
4	ROBERTO ESCOBARR	23
5	RUN FOR OSCAR	2
6	THE SHUNTER	15
7	MAGELLAN STRAIT	8
8	SEA OF SANDS	11
9	TROOPER BISDEE	5
10	NDAAWI	16
11	EVALUATION	7
12	SPIRIT MIXER	6
13	AQWAAM	22
14	SIXANDAHALF	20
15	ZEALANDIA	3
16	ALPHONSE LE GRANDE	19
17	SHAGPYLE	1
18	MANXMAN	4
19	ANNA BUNINA	17
20	PREMIERE LIGNE	10
21	BASHFUL BOY	13
22	JACOVEC CAVERN	14
23	STORY HORSE	21
24	REVEREND HUBERT	12
25	LADY PERCIVAL	24

Explanations

Fields
Tab	TAB Number of horse
Horse	Name of each runner
WT	Runner's weight
BP	Barrier Position at Acceptance
Jockey	Nominated rider where known (apprentice allowance shown in brackets where applicable)
JRat	Racing and Sports unique jockey rating. The range is 0 - 5 with 2.5 being an average value and 5 being the highest. The rating is calculated from each riders statistics and includes overall strike rate plus distance, course, Metropolitan, Provincial or Country performance and favourites strike rate. A H after a rating means the jockey is riding hot at a rate exceeding his 12 month bench mark.
TRat	Racing and Sports unique trainer rating. The range is 0 - 5 with 2.5 being an average value and 5 being the highest. The rating is calculated from each trainers statistics and includes overall strike rate plus distance, course, Metropolitan, Provincial or Country performances and favourites strike rate. A H after a rating means the trainer is performing hot at a rate exceeding his 12 month bench mark.

Rating
Form	Form Figures for each horse
Est	Computer generated Predictive Final Rating based along the lines of Don Scott methods.
LSR	Last Start Rating
50d	Last 50 days rating.
BL3	Best of last 3 ratings.
12m	Twelve Month High Rating (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
Career	Career Best Rating
RT GF	Best Rating on good to fast ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT G	Best Rating on good ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT D	Best Rating on dead ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT SH	Best Rating on slow to heavy ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
12m AW	Last 12 months all weather best rating
50d AW	Last 50 days all weather best rating
PP	Pre Post Market
p	Provisional ratings

INTERACTIVE FORM

Racing And Sports has two quality interactive form systems which you as the user can adjust to your own specific tastes and thoughts. We've detailed below how to use both the Neurals and Worksheet areas of a race guide.

Neurals

These are computer enhanced analyses of all the areas which go into making up a race field. They factor in algorithms for every contingency as explained below and added them up to generate the likely best horse in a race.

When you go into them via the Form Guide page you simply run your mouse over any column and you can sort the field by any individual type of Neural Rating which determines the final total (and therefore best rater).

Explanation of Inputs for Neural Analysis
CP	Career performance assessment based on weight/class algorithms
CF	Current form measured by class/weight algorithms
TIM	Revolutionary time assessment (adjusted algorithm)
JA	Jockey ability algorithm
TA	Trainer ability algorithm
JT	Jockey/trainer combination algorithm
WT	Wet track performance algorithm
Crs	Course suitability algorithm
D	Distance suitability algorithm
$	Prizemoney earned algorithm
BP	Barrier position (course & distance) algorithm
DLR	Days since last run algorithm
The user sets the level of importance from the Preference Scale (1 to 5 or No) for each algorithm and the output weightings are listed within seconds. The Neural factor analysis will quickly identify for you just who are the main chances in each race, the highest to the lowest based on the factor weightings

Explanation of Worksheet
RFS	Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS	Number of days since last run
12MTH	Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR	Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form	Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond	Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons	Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP	Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK	Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC	Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR	Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg	Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per	Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div	Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box	Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage	Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

Explanation of Times
12TB	12 month turf best rating
12TM	12 month turf median rating
12TT3	12 month turf top 3 average rating
100TB
12AWB	12 month all weather best rating
12AWM	12 month all weather median rating
12AWT3	12 month all weather top 3 average rating
100AWM	12 month all weather median rating

Explanation of Switches
WT TS	Weight this start
+\|-	Difference from last start (Weight)
BP TS	Barrier position this start
LS	Last start barrier position
DIST LS	Difference from last start (Distance)
CLS LS	Class last start

Rating for jockey this start compared to last
TS Jockey	This Start Jockey
TS Rating	This Start Rating.
TS J/H	This Start Jockey and Horse together total wins, places and starts.
LS Jockey	Last Start Jockey
LS Rating	Last Start Rating.
TS J/H	Last Start Jockey and Horse together total wins, places and starts.

Information displayed is the trainer, training location and distance (approximate) the trainer had to travel to this track.

Explanation of Prize Money
Tot $PM	Total prize money earned
Car$/ST	Prize money earned per start
Joc L50	Total prize money won last 50 rides
Joc PM	Total prize money won last 350 rides
Tra L50	Total prize money won last 50 runners
Tra PM	Total prize money won last 350 runners

Course and distance record, horse jockey combination

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Horse stats on distance and track condition.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Statistics shown are for the Jockey, Trainer and Sire for their last 50 rides/starts and last 350 rides starts. Use the button above to toggle between runs/starts and win/pace percentages.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Statistics shown are for the jockey for the Horse, Jockey, Trainer at this particular course. Use the button above to toggle between runs/starts and win/pace percentages.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Explanation of detailed forms
Raced Distance	Displays the distances the horse has raced over
CarPM	Career Prizemoney
12mPM	Prizemoney earnt in the last 12 months
API	$1000 of dollars won per start
RTC/km	Runs this campaign and total KM's traveled in those starts (FU-First Up)
RunsDistTC	Runs at the distance this campaign
DLS	Days since last start
DLW	Days since last win (number of starts since last win)
Car	Career stats
12m	12 months stats
Crs	Course Stats
Dist	Stats for this race distance
Fast	Fast Track Stats
Good	Good Track Stats
Soft	Soft Track Stats
Heavy	Heavy Track Stats
AW/Turf	All Weather (all types) of Stats
G1	Group 1 Stats
G2	Group 2 Stats
G3	Group 3 Stats
LR	Listed Races Stats
FU	First Up Stats
2U	2nd Up Stats
3U	3rd Up Stats
ClockW	Stats when racing Clockwise
AClockW	Stats when racing Anti-Clockwise
DOD	Degree of Difficulty from last start to this start
KGR	racing & Sports Kilogram Ratings, a numerical figure used to express the merit of the run
[o]	Ongoing Winners - A list of horses who have race from this race in the following 30 days of the race and the Wins/Places and Starts they have records. Click on the [o] to see these runs.

15:40 Newmarket Rowley Form Guide (Race 5) Saturday, 12th October 2024

Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

Explanations

Fields

Rating

INTERACTIVE FORM

Neurals

Explanation of Inputs for Neural Analysis

Explanation of Worksheet

Explanation of Times

Explanation of Switches

Explanation of Prize Money

Explanation of detailed forms

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