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17:16 Ellerslie Form Guide (Race 7) Saturday, 19th October 2024

6f102y TURF SOFT 5
NZD $55,000

SISTEMA

NZD $55,000
Type: BM75 Fastest Time: 1:17.05 Dame Lilibic 02 Mar 2024 BM75 SOT:G
6f102y TURF SOFT 5
TabFORMHorseWTDrawTot $PMCar$/StJockeyJoc L50Joc PMJRatTrainerTra L50Tra PMTRatESTLSR50DBL312mCarRT GFRT DRT SH12M AW50D AWNRHCPPRBP12TB12TM12TT3100TB12AWB12AWM12AWT3100AWMWT TS+ | -Draw TSDraw LSDIST LS+ | -CLS LSLS Fav
TS Jockey
TS Rating
TS J/H
LS Jockey
LS Rat
LS J/H
Trainer
Rating
LocationTCJoc/HorCareer12 MonthCourseC&DDistFirmGoodSoftHeavyGroup 1Joc L50Joc L350Tra L50Tra L350Sire L50Sire L350Hor & CrsJoc & CrsTra & Crs
1190x2PERICLES9st 6lbs6$93.4k$9.3k VINNIE COLGAN $214.1k$2,177.1k 2.4 PAM GERARD $345.4k$512.2k 3.4 908788909292920880053538000000009st 6lbs2675f212y109yBM75-MatamataN
214531LHASA9st 4lbs4$67.1k$3.7k $0.0k$0.0k - MARK TREWEEK $150.3k$154.8k 2.6 757373737375700757373691116916916901661671661679st 4lbs1466f102y0BM75Won
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CambridgeN
31124xBLUE SKY AT NIGHT9st 2lbs14$101.0k$5.3k TAYLA MITCHELL (1) $81.4k$772.6k 1.9 SHELLEY HALE $217.4k$239.3k 2.4 586907474756907500318000000009st 2lbs91441m2f97y-3f215yHCP81-CambridgeN
4220x4MR JAY EIGHT9st 2lbs12$45.7k$5.7k ACE LAWSON-CARROLL (2) $126.2k$933.2k 2.1 SHAUN & EMMA CLOTWORTHY $92.4k$770.5k 1.8 818484958410210209500848000000009st 2lbs412125f212y109yBM75-Byerley ParkN
5083x1TO CATCH A THIEF9st2$204.6k$13.6k WARREN KENNEDY $672.3k$1,749.3k 2.4 JOANNE SURGENOR $215.8k$942.1k 2.9 676868721071071070107001371217017017017000009st0286f102y0MAATWonArdmore LodgeN
6113TWAIN9st5$31.7k$10.6k SAM SPRATT $221.3k$1,667.1k H 4.1 JOHN BELL $188.4k$838.3k 2.6 87848585858500850082912000000009st65115f212y109yBM75-
H 4.1
CambridgeN
798x31OVERDRAWN8st 11lbs1$74.0k$6.2k MATTHEW CARTWRIGHT $211.6k$1,527.2k H 1.8 TONY PIKE $377.8k$2,173.3k H 4.0 807677778698860980088916917117116900008st 11lbs-71126f102y0BM65-CambridgeN
8055x0NO SECRET8st 10lbs11$159.2k$8.9k $0.0k$0.0k - MURRAY GARRETT $102.6k$229.4k 1.9 7373739292100100098007312000000008st 10lbs81145f212y109yOPEN-
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Pukekohe ParkN
9120x6COLORADO SILVER8st 9lbs3$52.0k$4.7k $0.0k$0.0k - HOLLIE WYNYARD $22.9k$22.9k 1.8 646161878799850996161511517017017001691691691698st 9lbs-4326f102y0BM75Beaten
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CambridgeN
10632x1MY ANNIE BELLE8st 9lbs8$41.6k$6.9k MASAHIRO HASHIZUME $223.6k$1,052.5k 3.1 KEN & BEV KELSO $1,831.7k$4,319.0k 3.3 817778929494940790081111000000008st 9lbs-7815f103y1fBM65WonMatamataN
1114418FLYING GIB8st 8lbs13$34.5k$4.9k $0.0k$0.0k - Moira & Kieran Murdoch $204.1k$598.8k 2.7 56585877777762077002610000000008st 8lbs01366f211y-109yBM75-
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Pukekohe ParkN
121140xSONNET8st 7lbs10$26.7k$2.7k DONAVAN MANSOUR $146.3k$788.1k 1.9 ROGER JAMES & ROBERT WELLWOOD $149.9k$4,751.4k 4.6 6759077777776070770318000017017017008st 7lbs010146f211y-109ySWP-CambridgeN
131x2MOVING MELODY8st 7lbs9$22.6k$11.3k TRISTON MOODLEY (2) $222.2k$1,170.1k 4.0 BRUCE WALLACE & GRANT COOKSLEY $388.4k$1,732.2k 2.8 777576767676007600551217417417417400008st 7lbs-2966f102y0BM65-Byerley ParkN
147557xMYLA8st 7lbs7$31.1k$1.2k $0.0k$0.0k - Moira & Kieran Murdoch $204.1k$598.8k 2.7 638008585858507200447000000008st 7lbs4731m2f206y-4f104yBM75-
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Pukekohe ParkN

Fields

TabTAB Number of horse
HorseName of each runner
WTRunner's weight
BPBarrier Position at Acceptance
JockeyNominated rider where known (apprentice allowance shown in brackets where applicable)
JRatRacing and Sports unique jockey rating. The range is 0 - 5 with 2.5 being an average value and 5 being the highest. The rating is calculated from each riders statistics and includes overall strike rate plus distance, course, Metropolitan, Provincial or Country performance and favourites strike rate. A H after a rating means the jockey is riding hot at a rate exceeding his 12 month bench mark.
TRatRacing and Sports unique trainer rating. The range is 0 - 5 with 2.5 being an average value and 5 being the highest. The rating is calculated from each trainers statistics and includes overall strike rate plus distance, course, Metropolitan, Provincial or Country performances and favourites strike rate. A H after a rating means the trainer is performing hot at a rate exceeding his 12 month bench mark.

Rating

FormForm Figures for each horse
EstComputer generated Predictive Final Rating based along the lines of Don Scott methods.
LSRLast Start Rating
50dLast 50 days rating.
BL3Best of last 3 ratings.
12mTwelve Month High Rating (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
CareerCareer Best Rating
RT GFBest Rating on good to fast ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT GBest Rating on good ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT DBest Rating on dead ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT SHBest Rating on slow to heavy ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
12m AWLast 12 months all weather best rating
50d AWLast 50 days all weather best rating
PPPre Post Market
pProvisional ratings

INTERACTIVE FORM

Racing And Sports has two quality interactive form systems which you as the user can adjust to your own specific tastes and thoughts. We've detailed below how to use both the Neurals and Worksheet areas of a race guide.

Neurals

These are computer enhanced analyses of all the areas which go into making up a race field. They factor in algorithms for every contingency as explained below and added them up to generate the likely best horse in a race.

When you go into them via the Form Guide page you simply run your mouse over any column and you can sort the field by any individual type of Neural Rating which determines the final total (and therefore best rater).

Explanation of Inputs for Neural Analysis

CPCareer performance assessment based on weight/class algorithms
CFCurrent form measured by class/weight algorithms
TIMRevolutionary time assessment (adjusted algorithm)
JAJockey ability algorithm
TATrainer ability algorithm
JTJockey/trainer combination algorithm
WTWet track performance algorithm
CrsCourse suitability algorithm
DDistance suitability algorithm
$Prizemoney earned algorithm
BPBarrier position (course & distance) algorithm
DLRDays since last run algorithm
  • The user sets the level of importance from the Preference Scale (1 to 5 or No) for each algorithm and the output weightings are listed within seconds.
  • The Neural factor analysis will quickly identify for you just who are the main chances in each race, the highest to the lowest based on the factor weightings

Explanation of Worksheet

RFSNumber of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLSNumber of days since last run
12MTHTwelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRRRun Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
FormForm bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
CondCondition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
ConsConsistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BPBarrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCKJockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JCApprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FRFinal Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMargTheoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
PerYour Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
DivMarket percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick BoxRemoves horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market PercentageSet your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

Explanation of Times

12TB12 month turf best rating
12TM12 month turf median rating
12TT312 month turf top 3 average rating
100TB
12AWB12 month all weather best rating
12AWM12 month all weather median rating
12AWT312 month all weather top 3 average rating
100AWM12 month all weather median rating

Explanation of Switches

WT TSWeight this start
+|-Difference from last start (Weight)
BP TSBarrier position this start
LSLast start barrier position
DIST LSDifference from last start (Distance)
CLS LSClass last start
Rating for jockey this start compared to last
TS JockeyThis Start Jockey
TS RatingThis Start Rating.
TS J/HThis Start Jockey and Horse together total wins, places and starts.
LS JockeyLast Start Jockey
LS RatingLast Start Rating.
TS J/HLast Start Jockey and Horse together total wins, places and starts.

Information displayed is the trainer, training location and distance (approximate) the trainer had to travel to this track.

Explanation of Prize Money

Tot $PMTotal prize money earned
Car$/STPrize money earned per start
Joc L50Total prize money won last 50 rides
Joc PMTotal prize money won last 350 rides
Tra L50Total prize money won last 50 runners
Tra PMTotal prize money won last 350 runners

Course and distance record, horse jockey combination

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Horse stats on distance and track condition.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Statistics shown are for the Jockey, Trainer and Sire for their last 50 rides/starts and last 350 rides starts. Use the button above to toggle between runs/starts and win/pace percentages.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Statistics shown are for the jockey for the Horse, Jockey, Trainer at this particular course. Use the button above to toggle between runs/starts and win/pace percentages.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Explanation of detailed forms

Raced DistanceDisplays the distances the horse has raced over
CarPMCareer Prizemoney
12mPMPrizemoney earnt in the last 12 months
API$1000 of dollars won per start
RTC/kmRuns this campaign and total KM's traveled in those starts (FU-First Up)
RunsDistTCRuns at the distance this campaign
DLSDays since last start
DLWDays since last win (number of starts since last win)
CarCareer stats
12m12 months stats
CrsCourse Stats
DistStats for this race distance
FastFast Track Stats
GoodGood Track Stats
SoftSoft Track Stats
HeavyHeavy Track Stats
AW/TurfAll Weather (all types) of Stats
G1Group 1 Stats
G2Group 2 Stats
G3Group 3 Stats
LRListed Races Stats
FUFirst Up Stats
2U2nd Up Stats
3U3rd Up Stats
ClockWStats when racing Clockwise
AClockWStats when racing Anti-Clockwise
DODDegree of Difficulty from last start to this start
KGRracing & Sports Kilogram Ratings, a numerical figure used to express the merit of the run
[o]Ongoing Winners - A list of horses who have race from this race in the following 30 days of the race and the Wins/Places and Starts they have records. Click on the [o] to see these runs.