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17:50 Flemington Form Guide (Race 9) Saturday, 09th November 2024

5f103y TURF
AUD $150,000

World Horse Racing Grand Handicap

AUD $150,000
Age: 3yo and up Type: BM80 Fastest Time: 1:02.31 Estriella 30 Mar 2024 3yo OPEN(SW) SOT:G
5f103y TURF
TabFORMHorseWTDrawTot $PMCar$/StJockeyJoc L50Joc PMJRatTrainerTra L50Tra PMTRatESTLSR50DBL312mCarRT GFRT DRT SH12M AW50D AWNRHCPPRBP12TB12TM12TT3100TB12AWB12AWM12AWT3100AWMWT TS+ | -Draw TSDraw LSDIST LS+ | -CLS LSLS Fav
TS Jockey
TS Rating
TS J/H
LS Jockey
LS Rat
LS J/H
Trainer
Rating
LocationTCJoc/HorCareer12 MonthCourseC&DDistFirmGoodSoftHeavyGroup 1Joc L50Joc L350Tra L50Tra L350Sire L50Sire L350Hor & CrsJoc & CrsTra & Crs
1x7841PORT ALBERT9st 11lbs14$340.8k$14.2k RHYS MCLEOD $270.0k$2,169.3k 3.2 NICK RYAN $650.0k$4,517.9k 3.9 878989899095940950010171113914014014000009st 11lbs31454f164y159yBM74-FlemingtonN
2606x7RANTING9st 11lbs3$616.2k$19.3k JAMIE MOTT $760.0k$2,482.1k 3.6 REECE GOODWIN $211.1k$1,185.4k 2.0 87868686961101100106002128913914014014100009st 11lbs13105f103y0BM78-Pakenham OCN
383150MISS ICELANDIC9st 6lbs8$183.7k$11.5k NASH RAWILLER $3,612.3k$10,762.1k 3.0 GAVIN BEDGGOOD $619.9k$3,733.7k 4.0 64616194959595092005412137138138000009st 6lbs7885f212y-109yBM84-Cranbourne (2)N
404471ALONG THE RIVER9st 5lbs19$273.3k$7.8k RYAN HOUSTON (a3) $93.8k$1,351.4k 1.9 M & L CERCHI $160.6k$1,230.3k 1.9 87909090909595094001019813814114013800009st 5lbs21955f103y0BM74-FlemingtonN
5x4x4xKEENAN9st 5lbs16$103.9k$17.3k JYE MCNEIL $652.8k$3,605.8k 3.4 G WATERHOUSE & A BOTT $2,307.1k$9,375.6k H 4.3 7396010796107960107005010139139139000009st 5lbs81675f103y0OPEN-FlemingtonN
622122RIVKIN9st 5lbs4$150.4k$7.5k TOM MADDEN $116.6k$1,119.3k 2.6 PATRICK F RYAN JNR $398.8k$824.6k 2.3 90888888919490094001061414014014014000009st 5lbs12455f48y55yBM82-GrassmereN
74238xSHESALLSHENANIGANS9st 4lbs11$908.4k$60.6k BEN MELHAM $2,126.9k$12,456.5k 3.7 SIMON ZAHRA $161.3k$1,066.3k 2.5 859401051051101100109001518138139139000009st 4lbs01115f212y-109yOPEN-FlemingtonN
8x6x89ZULFIQAR9st 3lbs9$245.6k$27.3k MARK ZAHRA $5,343.3k$14,657.9k H 4.3 JAMES CUMMINGS $2,419.8k$9,417.8k 2.7 88868787871111110111005210143143143000009st 3lbs89115f212y-109yBM84-
H 4.3
FlemingtonN
9x2411NAVAL ACADEMY9st 2lbs12$72.6k$10.4k THOMAS STOCKDALE $0.0k$0.0k - CIARON MAHER $2,938.8k$25,234.1k H 4.2 929090909097950970061410000000009st 2lbs-21255f212y-109yBM70WonCranbourneN
10144x1PISANELLO9st 2lbs1$88.7k$9.9k JAMES MCDONALD $7,299.3k$27,401.9k H 4.6 JAMES CUMMINGS $2,419.8k$9,417.8k 2.7 958989909090890900010149139144141000009st 2lbs0154f214y109yBM72WonAgnes BanksN
1147x28DUAL PRESSURE9st6$173.6k$11.6k DAMIAN LANE $3,220.1k$7,845.9k 3.2 MATHEW ELLERTON $342.4k$2,275.4k 2.8 10295100100100100100097004131013813913913800009st-8696f102y-1fBM70-FlemingtonN
122212xKIKO9st5$184.3k$9.2k CRAIG WILLIAMS $11,972.7k$20,033.2k H 3.4 J T CONLAN $234.7k$1,489.4k 2.0 819509595107107095006110000000009st-1585f212y-109yBM74BeatenMorningtonN
13x7131SUBSIX9st15$101.1k$10.1k MICHAEL DEE $1,281.2k$6,002.0k H 4.4 LLOYD KENNEWELL & LUCY YEOMANS $305.9k$2,300.7k 1.9 8688888895959508800681213813813813800009st-91524f214y109yBM64-CranbourneN
1412122MANTUA8st 13lbs10$159.4k$10.0k DYLAN BROWNE MCMONAGLE $482.1k$4,816.8k H 3.4 CIARON MAHER $2,938.8k$25,234.1k H 4.2 98989898981009801000021381014014114114000008st 13lbs31085f103y0BM78BeatenCranbourne (2)N
15378x1NATION STATE8st 11lbs18$89.2k$9.9k BILLY EGAN $928.4k$3,796.3k 2.3 JOHN MOLONEY $186.8k$1,482.2k 2.4 89909091989898098006109000000008st 11lbs-91824f214y109yBM64WonCranbourneN
1614x1TRAPEZE WARRIOR8st 11lbs2$50.0k$16.7k HARRY COFFEY $3,425.0k$6,220.0k 1.8 PHILLIP STOKES $516.7k$3,661.4k 2.9 90878791919191087006613141141141000008st 11lbs-9244f214y109yBM64-Pakenham OCN
1729x33JEWEL BAY8st 13lbs7$145.2k$11.2k LUKE CURRIE $419.6k$4,133.4k 3.5 BEN, WILL & JD HAYES $878.1k$6,002.1k 4.2 9998989810210310301020034381314014114114000008st 13lbs2715f103y0BM78-FlemingtonN
1852121COEUR DE LYON8st 11lbs17$129.0k$5.0k JARROD FRY $214.9k$1,277.3k 2.1 TOM DABERNIG $238.8k$1,940.2k 2.9 87909090909090086770611614014214214000008st 11lbs-91715f103y0BM64-WarrnamboolN
1942534GUNDAROO8st 5lbs13$71.0k$5.1k $0.0k$0.0k - PETER SMITH $111.3k$725.9k 2.5 8884929292929207900511613713814013800008st 5lbs-141365f212y-109yBM64-
-
BenallaN

Fields

TabTAB Number of horse
HorseName of each runner
WTRunner's weight
BPBarrier Position at Acceptance
JockeyNominated rider where known (apprentice allowance shown in brackets where applicable)
JRatRacing and Sports unique jockey rating. The range is 0 - 5 with 2.5 being an average value and 5 being the highest. The rating is calculated from each riders statistics and includes overall strike rate plus distance, course, Metropolitan, Provincial or Country performance and favourites strike rate. A H after a rating means the jockey is riding hot at a rate exceeding his 12 month bench mark.
TRatRacing and Sports unique trainer rating. The range is 0 - 5 with 2.5 being an average value and 5 being the highest. The rating is calculated from each trainers statistics and includes overall strike rate plus distance, course, Metropolitan, Provincial or Country performances and favourites strike rate. A H after a rating means the trainer is performing hot at a rate exceeding his 12 month bench mark.

Rating

FormForm Figures for each horse
EstComputer generated Predictive Final Rating based along the lines of Don Scott methods.
LSRLast Start Rating
50dLast 50 days rating.
BL3Best of last 3 ratings.
12mTwelve Month High Rating (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
CareerCareer Best Rating
RT GFBest Rating on good to fast ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT GBest Rating on good ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT DBest Rating on dead ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT SHBest Rating on slow to heavy ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
12m AWLast 12 months all weather best rating
50d AWLast 50 days all weather best rating
PPPre Post Market
pProvisional ratings

INTERACTIVE FORM

Racing And Sports has two quality interactive form systems which you as the user can adjust to your own specific tastes and thoughts. We've detailed below how to use both the Neurals and Worksheet areas of a race guide.

Neurals

These are computer enhanced analyses of all the areas which go into making up a race field. They factor in algorithms for every contingency as explained below and added them up to generate the likely best horse in a race.

When you go into them via the Form Guide page you simply run your mouse over any column and you can sort the field by any individual type of Neural Rating which determines the final total (and therefore best rater).

Explanation of Inputs for Neural Analysis

CPCareer performance assessment based on weight/class algorithms
CFCurrent form measured by class/weight algorithms
TIMRevolutionary time assessment (adjusted algorithm)
JAJockey ability algorithm
TATrainer ability algorithm
JTJockey/trainer combination algorithm
WTWet track performance algorithm
CrsCourse suitability algorithm
DDistance suitability algorithm
$Prizemoney earned algorithm
BPBarrier position (course & distance) algorithm
DLRDays since last run algorithm
  • The user sets the level of importance from the Preference Scale (1 to 5 or No) for each algorithm and the output weightings are listed within seconds.
  • The Neural factor analysis will quickly identify for you just who are the main chances in each race, the highest to the lowest based on the factor weightings

Explanation of Worksheet

RFSNumber of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLSNumber of days since last run
12MTHTwelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRRRun Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
FormForm bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
CondCondition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
ConsConsistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BPBarrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCKJockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JCApprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FRFinal Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMargTheoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
PerYour Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
DivMarket percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick BoxRemoves horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market PercentageSet your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

Explanation of Times

12TB12 month turf best rating
12TM12 month turf median rating
12TT312 month turf top 3 average rating
100TB
12AWB12 month all weather best rating
12AWM12 month all weather median rating
12AWT312 month all weather top 3 average rating
100AWM12 month all weather median rating

Explanation of Switches

WT TSWeight this start
+|-Difference from last start (Weight)
BP TSBarrier position this start
LSLast start barrier position
DIST LSDifference from last start (Distance)
CLS LSClass last start
Rating for jockey this start compared to last
TS JockeyThis Start Jockey
TS RatingThis Start Rating.
TS J/HThis Start Jockey and Horse together total wins, places and starts.
LS JockeyLast Start Jockey
LS RatingLast Start Rating.
TS J/HLast Start Jockey and Horse together total wins, places and starts.

Information displayed is the trainer, training location and distance (approximate) the trainer had to travel to this track.

Explanation of Prize Money

Tot $PMTotal prize money earned
Car$/STPrize money earned per start
Joc L50Total prize money won last 50 rides
Joc PMTotal prize money won last 350 rides
Tra L50Total prize money won last 50 runners
Tra PMTotal prize money won last 350 runners

Course and distance record, horse jockey combination

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Horse stats on distance and track condition.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Statistics shown are for the Jockey, Trainer and Sire for their last 50 rides/starts and last 350 rides starts. Use the button above to toggle between runs/starts and win/pace percentages.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Statistics shown are for the jockey for the Horse, Jockey, Trainer at this particular course. Use the button above to toggle between runs/starts and win/pace percentages.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Explanation of detailed forms

Raced DistanceDisplays the distances the horse has raced over
CarPMCareer Prizemoney
12mPMPrizemoney earnt in the last 12 months
API$1000 of dollars won per start
RTC/kmRuns this campaign and total KM's traveled in those starts (FU-First Up)
RunsDistTCRuns at the distance this campaign
DLSDays since last start
DLWDays since last win (number of starts since last win)
CarCareer stats
12m12 months stats
CrsCourse Stats
DistStats for this race distance
FastFast Track Stats
GoodGood Track Stats
SoftSoft Track Stats
HeavyHeavy Track Stats
AW/TurfAll Weather (all types) of Stats
G1Group 1 Stats
G2Group 2 Stats
G3Group 3 Stats
LRListed Races Stats
FUFirst Up Stats
2U2nd Up Stats
3U3rd Up Stats
ClockWStats when racing Clockwise
AClockWStats when racing Anti-Clockwise
DODDegree of Difficulty from last start to this start
KGRracing & Sports Kilogram Ratings, a numerical figure used to express the merit of the run
[o]Ongoing Winners - A list of horses who have race from this race in the following 30 days of the race and the Wins/Places and Starts they have records. Click on the [o] to see these runs.